{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FXYQXHQPX6",
  "slug": "will-a-country-leave-brics-in-2026",
  "question": "Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "brics-membership",
    "international-organizations",
    "2026",
    "political-withdrawal",
    "multilateral-alliances"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether any BRICS member state formally withdraws or issues a denunciation notice in 2026. Resolution relies on official government announcements from member states or the bloc itself. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves the outcome against those official sources at year-end 2026. No comparable structural contrast exists here, as only one platform has listed this event.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RC2H046933",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.023,
    "implied_probability": 0.023
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RC2H046933",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FXYQXHQPX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5c1026484212715ce3d50f044d4241a30e1db42e0cbd0c6d29874f35e7e96a1d",
      "question": "Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official announcements from BRICS member state governments and BRICS regarding formal withdrawal or denunciation notices submitted through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the relevant government and BRICS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.023,
      "implied_probability": 0.023,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.36,
      "volume_total_usd": 75464.10748600001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brics",
        "brics membership",
        "geopolitics",
        "membership"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-FXYQXHQPX6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}