{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0H1S6RH240",
  "slug": "will-abstract-launch-a-token-in-2025",
  "question": "Will Abstract launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "abstract",
    "2026",
    "governance-token"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Abstract, a consumer-focused Ethereum layer-2 network, launches a native token by various deadlines spanning 2025 through 2027. All seven markets are structured as binary yes/no questions with staggered expiry dates, creating an implied probability term structure across the deadline ladder. An early-expiry resolution at December 31, 2025 anchors the near end; the December 31, 2027 market anchors the far end. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MDPBR5WLV1",
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    "implied_probability": 0.15
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "question": "Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 56.64,
      "volume_total_usd": 1025.414681,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": "CMX-5E293BDD42",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0H1S6RH240",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x728cd8360fc3706c4c482f6d90cc68b441a4bb1a9d5f030564f478af2200ed02",
      "question": "Will Abstract launch a token by March 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "caps": [
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      "volume_total_usd": 37.142856,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0H1S6RH240",
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      "question": "Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3CYZFG6H01",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x23dc8c2942fbf4740f993848799c012eeae279ddf7dfd5994d657815749cf2e0",
      "question": "Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
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      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
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      "question": "Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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}