{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQXZ094JX1",
  "slug": "will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-sachsen-anhalt",
  "question": "Will the AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "germany",
    "saxony-anhalt",
    "afd",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the AfD secures more than half of all seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag following the September 6, 2026 state parliament election. Only one platform is active here; Polymarket prices a binary outcome on the absolute majority threshold. The authoritative source is the official seat allocation published by the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4RLSMM2C77",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.44,
    "implied_probability": 0.44
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4RLSMM2C77",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQXZ094JX1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5187c6fefe08cf4513e08dd31a514b698aaebc18c259b9a98c8170cca2b7d6e8",
      "question": "Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt publishes official seat allocation results from the September 6, 2026 state parliament election.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de",
            "url": "https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1081.307931,
      "volume_total_usd": 71717.76374900003,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "afd",
        "afd sachsen anhalt",
        "election",
        "germany",
        "sachsen-anhalt",
        "seats"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SQXZ094JX1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}