{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QQMZPW1CY2",
  "slug": "will-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2026",
  "question": "Will Alberta vote for independence by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "canadian-politics",
    "alberta-independence",
    "provincial-referendum",
    "separatism",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Alberta holds and passes an independence referendum by December 31, 2026. Polymarket prices a binary yes/no outcome, resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Resolution requires an official Government of Alberta announcement confirming a passed referendum. No such referendum has been formally scheduled as of the market's open period.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WY8KQ9RKC3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.108,
    "implied_probability": 0.108
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WY8KQ9RKC3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QQMZPW1CY2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfa036bb861dd01304a9ad13649947e8c4834a3accd3af872531bac6e0ada2129",
      "question": "Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The government of Alberta's official announcement of a passed independence referendum by December 31, 2026, or credible consensus reporting thereof.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the government of Alberta",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.108,
      "implied_probability": 0.108,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 240742.12284899977,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alberta",
        "alberta independence referendum",
        "canada",
        "politics",
        "referendum"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QQMZPW1CY2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}