{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C22002DJH0",
  "slug": "will-another-country-recognize-somaliland-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "sovereignty-recognition",
    "horn-of-africa",
    "diplomatic-relations",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether any UN member state will formally recognize Somaliland's sovereignty before June 30, 2026. A qualifying event requires official government statements confirming recognition of Somaliland as an independent state. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against that threshold. No corroborating platform prices this event at a different structural level.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DDGRJYCR88",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DDGRJYCR88",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C22002DJH0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x152535dc7d0e961cad58550089338ab78a93b5488bac0371f29a7ddaedb823f0",
      "question": "Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?",
      "description": "On Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or chang",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "A UN member state's formal recognition of Somaliland as a sovereign state, confirmed by official government statements or diplomatic announcements before June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "On Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with a relevant country, but do not formally recognize the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a recognizing country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "reuters.com",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the government of a recognizing country",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 62,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 679.9699999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 17665.465142999983,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "international relations",
        "recognition",
        "somaliland",
        "somaliland diplomatic recognition"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DDGRJYCR88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T07:57:04Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-C22002DJH0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}