{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KLM6Z2TT80",
  "slug": "will-ansem-flip-pump-by-20260702152126828",
  "question": "Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by the end of 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "altcoin-comparison",
    "market-cap-flip",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the ANSEM token will surpass PUMP in market capitalization by a specified deadline. All three are binary outcome markets on Polymarket, structured as a deadline series: December 31, 2026, June 30, 2027, and December 31, 2027. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Later-dated contracts imply higher cumulative probability of the flip occurring.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZP9Y221206",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.1,
    "implied_probability": 0.1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZP9Y221206",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KLM6Z2TT80",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x396100b911b8bb25ea142ec977ac212909cd5f704edf4e156706b513ee728c2d",
      "question": "Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.\n\nIf CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.\n\nIf CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "coingecko.com",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "coingecko.com",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinGecko",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinMarketCap",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CoinGecko",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50,
      "volume_total_usd": 58679.67928300002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D240423256",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ansem",
        "ansem pump",
        "crypto",
        "flip",
        "pump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HR0WQGSYQ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KLM6Z2TT80",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9a2a0f95141558012ae0843c68b092c7057b4ec6b9e8d55f7cc8ff44a83392bf",
      "question": "Will ANSEM flip PUMP by June 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.\n\nIf CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.\n\nIf CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "coingecko.com",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "coingecko.com",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinGecko",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinMarketCap",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CoinGecko",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 137.822775,
      "volume_total_usd": 3794.695716000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-87B77038A4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ansem",
        "ansem pump",
        "crypto",
        "flip",
        "pump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TJMRXYMHB4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KLM6Z2TT80",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8a5cbd8eedef631a01264106dfd46bb1cda3ce3612b890c518a1358dabd042d8",
      "question": "Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.\n\nIf CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.\n\nIf CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "coingecko.com",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "coingecko.com",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinGecko",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinMarketCap",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CoinGecko",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 137.83333,
      "volume_total_usd": 12027.155567999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-38555295A3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ansem",
        "ansem pump",
        "crypto",
        "flip",
        "pump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KLM6Z2TT80",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}