{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QPY674WV91",
  "slug": "will-apple-purchase-memory-cxmt-chips-in-2026-20260630171913147",
  "question": "Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "apple",
    "supply-chain",
    "semiconductor",
    "memory-chips",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Apple will publicly confirm sourcing memory chips from CXMT, the Chinese memory manufacturer, in 2026. A single Polymarket binary contract covers the outcome; no competing rate-level or margin structure exists across platforms. Resolution requires an official Apple statement confirming purchase or sourcing, per Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Absence of a formal announcement by December 31, 2026 implies a NO settlement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2PM7ZL5P92",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.26,
    "implied_probability": 0.26
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2PM7ZL5P92",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QPY674WV91",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x92da6cbffc42d5c4d847fc95a41ce823bc6bb35463026dad68437f41d99ccd14",
      "question": "Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?",
      "description": "According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Apple or an official company representative's public announcement that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.\n\nThis market will also resolve to \"Yes\" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ft.com",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from Apple and/or its official representative",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.26,
      "implied_probability": 0.26,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 12371.125278000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F683481E99",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "apple",
        "apple cxmt memory",
        "cxmt",
        "memory chips",
        "supply chain"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QPY674WV91",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}