{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RHW2KBPKP3",
  "slug": "will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "apple",
    "foldable-technology",
    "consumer-hardware",
    "2026",
    "product-release"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Apple will commercially release a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026. Only Polymarket covers this event, pricing a binary yes/no outcome on public availability. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official Apple statements confirming consumer purchase availability. No cross-platform structural contrast applies with a single market.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JVHLJ3CC84",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.87,
    "implied_probability": 0.87
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JVHLJ3CC84",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RHW2KBPKP3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7209592f294c2b3a7230ea66a4483ecfe1a57ae79144e5e735654829e00cfc68",
      "question": "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.\n\nA qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may al",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official statements from Apple regarding foldable iPhone availability for public purchase by December 31, 2026, with credible news reporting as secondary confirmation.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.\n\nA qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official statements from Apple",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2540.4869710000007,
      "volume_total_usd": 238085.1866149999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-92B51CD6A8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "apple",
        "foldable",
        "hardware",
        "iphone"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RHW2KBPKP3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}