{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SFV42KCTN2",
  "slug": "will-apple-release-a-new-product-line-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "tech",
    "business",
    "apple",
    "product-launch",
    "hardware-release"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Apple will introduce an entirely new product line before December 31, 2026. Resolution depends on Apple's official public announcements and product launches. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle settles the outcome. Only genuinely new product categories qualify; iterative hardware refreshes within existing lines do not.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LX6J1L34R7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.3,
    "implied_probability": 0.3
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LX6J1L34R7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SFV42KCTN2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0a84cdeb03a25ae441697191edbcc31ad6803c3f4d48af2e0429952336c04fc1",
      "question": "Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"new product line\" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Apple.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Apple's official public announcements and product launches through December 31, 2026 determine whether a new product line was released.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"new product line\" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Apple.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Apple",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official information from Apple",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 74.790699,
      "volume_total_usd": 302661.493894,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-353C28F1F5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "apple",
        "hardware",
        "product launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SFV42KCTN2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}