{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KPP4P36BQ5",
  "slug": "will-argentina-dollarize-by-june-30-2026",
  "question": "Will Argentina dollarize by 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "argentina-dollarization",
    "monetary-policy",
    "currency-economics",
    "2026",
    "latin-america"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Argentina will formally adopt the U.S. dollar as legal tender, replacing the peso. Both are binary outcome contracts on Polymarket, differentiated by deadline: June 30, 2026 versus December 31, 2026. The June contract is a strict subset of the December contract. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, which may face ambiguity if partial dollarization measures are enacted before either deadline.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KRW5PFVD04",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0RD5HFWR20",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KPP4P36BQ5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfba7e9cd09a4fcf8587fbef9c15884ab54bef1a2fbf42cfb4e456fab6fe2634c",
      "question": "Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\" - for this market to resolve to \"Yes\", dollarization must have actually begun.\n\nNote: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\" - for this market to resolve to \"Yes\", dollarization must have actually begun.\n\nNote: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-01T23:00:40.271Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 16290.969317000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "argentina",
        "argentina dollarization",
        "currency",
        "dollarization"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KRW5PFVD04",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KPP4P36BQ5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x56c7155047a53039900207933ec97016bc9a4fa140fcc4cceb1e4622b659d813",
      "question": "Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\" - for this market to resolve to \"Yes\", dollarization must have actually begun.\n\nNote: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\" - for this market to resolve to \"Yes\", dollarization must have actually begun.\n\nNote: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 29667.129623000026,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-56F72A2308",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "argentina",
        "argentina dollarization",
        "currency",
        "dollarization"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KRW5PFVD04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T06:29:04Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KPP4P36BQ5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}