{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KPP4P36BQ5",
  "slug": "will-argentina-dollarize-by-june-30-2026",
  "question": "Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "argentina-economy",
    "dollarization",
    "monetary-policy",
    "latin-america",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Argentina formally adopts the USD as its official legal tender or pegs the peso to the USD by June 30, 2026. A single Polymarket binary resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using credible news reporting as the evidentiary standard. No cross-platform structural contrast exists; only one market is listed. Resolution hinges on whether official government action, not informal practice, constitutes dollarization.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KRW5PFVD04",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KRW5PFVD04",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KPP4P36BQ5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x56c7155047a53039900207933ec97016bc9a4fa140fcc4cceb1e4622b659d813",
      "question": "Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\" - for this market to resolve to \"Yes\", dollarization must have actually begun.\n\nNote: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Credible news reporting on whether Argentina has begun pegging its currency to the USD or adopted the USD as official legal tender by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\" - for this market to resolve to \"Yes\", dollarization must have actually begun.\n\nNote: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 20354.914487000005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-56F72A2308",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "argentina",
        "argentina dollarization",
        "currency",
        "dollarization",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KRW5PFVD04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KPP4P36BQ5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}