{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DQMR2BYR33",
  "slug": "will-ari-leave-openai-by-december-31-2026",
  "question": "Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "tech",
    "ai",
    "openai",
    "personnel-movement",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Ari Weinstein will cease employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI by December 31, 2026. Only one platform structures the question, as a binary outcome resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Resolution depends on public confirmation of a departure before the year-end deadline. No cross-platform comparison is available for this event.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8T127YM8R2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.354,
    "implied_probability": 0.354
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8T127YM8R2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DQMR2BYR33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdc808e5438c051e4578f38ef5ddb8addba84dd11d61be6af61f2a0f9894a13c4",
      "question": "Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.\n\nAn official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market wi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves based on whether Ari Weinstein ceases employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.\n\nAn official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.354,
      "implied_probability": 0.354,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11647.963590000008,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-04A92F1B7A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ari weinstein employment",
        "employment",
        "openai",
        "personnel"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DQMR2BYR33",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}