{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8C9893HH2",
  "slug": "will-axiom-launch-a-token-in-2025",
  "question": "Will Axiom launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "axiom",
    "defi",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Axiom, a crypto project, will launch a token by successive year-end deadlines. All three are structured as binary outcome questions on Polymarket, resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The deadlines span 2025, 2026, and 2027, creating a sequential probability ladder across the same underlying event. A \"Yes\" resolution on the 2025 market logically implies \"Yes\" on both later markets, so traders can express views on launch timing with precision.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SLRG8KR7Q6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.15,
    "implied_probability": 0.15
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-543MMJBY05",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8C9893HH2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x81eeb2bcf76b850bd9470384cb8fb304c905064a6b6d4c0306027572358477d9",
      "question": "Will Axiom launch a token in 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Axiom officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Axiom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2025: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-01-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T07:15:21Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Axiom officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Axiom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "information from Axiom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 15489.545144,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F4A9BE11C3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "token"
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    {
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x07eb65c2a3f1cb716a8f24e7d8e97188f451d2928e59bc2781bcd9a9757b41b8",
      "question": "Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Axiom officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Axiom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Axiom officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Axiom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 179283.05135500012,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": "CMX-D865A5744F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8C9893HH2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfb82f6acd852d181d5e1895927636d0cd9035c8f29a4495e838d4967977d3dbb",
      "question": "Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Axiom officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Axiom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Axiom officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Axiom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "volume_24h_usd": 19.3,
      "volume_total_usd": 6753.387861,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8EB40D9726",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "axiom",
        "launch",
        "token"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-543MMJBY05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T07:15:21Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-S8C9893HH2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}