{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKKW1QZRK9",
  "slug": "will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-2026",
  "question": "Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin-vs-gold",
    "crypto-prices",
    "asset-performance",
    "cryptocurrency",
    "2027-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Bitcoin's 12-month percentage return exceeds Gold's in 2026. Both assets are measured via TradingView percentage change charts for BTC/USDT and XAU/USD. Resolution occurs at 2027-01-01 through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. No cross-platform structural contrast exists; only one market is listed under this event.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DJ3YC4VNK8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.25,
    "implied_probability": 0.25
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DJ3YC4VNK8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKKW1QZRK9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdcae9573d5680a2c958cca4676ed28df7a06861572124f3396cc60ab6b92b9c2",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized.\n\nIf the change is exact",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "TradingView's 12-month percentage change charts for BTC/USDT and XAU/USD candles dated January 1, 2026, compared as of January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized.\n\nIf the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fr.tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TradingView",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "TradingView",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1101.6399999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 429714.7737790007,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-DCC97225B9",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-5GRQQFLHP3",
          "price": 0.243
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "bitcoin vs gold",
        "gold",
        "relative performance"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TKKW1QZRK9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}