{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DBFCWG8FL6",
  "slug": "will-bitmine-announce-holding-eth-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "ethereum",
    "corporate-holdings",
    "announcement-based",
    "bitmine",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Bitmine will officially disclose ETH holdings exceeding three discrete thresholds before 2027. The 5M, 7M, and 9M ETH tiers form a ladder structure, with each higher threshold implying the lower ones are met. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, sourcing Bitmine's SEC filings and investor relations announcements. All three markets resolved in May 2026, per the resolve_at timestamp.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-H9PCMCP221",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.13,
    "implied_probability": 0.13,
    "as_of": "2026-08-29T07:01:20.094Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V7G1S6ZWX3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DBFCWG8FL6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5bd438968a2386b6e05847b0a0b40af63000a460cf95770dc4c9b3021c283e81",
      "question": "Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 5M ETH before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitmine officially announces that the company’s total Ethereum holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings.\n\nFor reference, Bitmine's reported ETH holdings can be tracked at: https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings\n\n market will be official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "5M ETH: The named company's official announcement of total Ethereum holdings, tracked via SEC filings and investor relations disclosures, by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-12T09:19:07Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitmine officially announces that the company’s total Ethereum holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings.\n\nFor reference, Bitmine's reported ETH holdings can be tracked at: https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings\n\n market will be official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bitminetech.io",
            "url": "https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bitmine",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 21246.61343200001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-EAE5C1E2F3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitmine",
        "ethereum",
        "holdings"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H9PCMCP221",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DBFCWG8FL6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfc98aa62bdcc0568c31fb97c6ef36f17e8675276dc42828194738b2273612328",
      "question": "Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitmine officially announces that the company’s total Ethereum holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings.\n\nFor reference, Bitmine's reported ETH holdings can be tracked at: https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "7M ETH: The named company's official announcement of total Ethereum holdings, tracked via SEC filings and investor relations disclosures, by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitmine officially announces that the company’s total Ethereum holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings.\n\nFor reference, Bitmine's reported ETH holdings can be tracked at: https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bitminetech.io",
            "url": "https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bitmine",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-29T07:01:20.094Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 31215.541069999996,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-49B06AB9A0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitmine",
        "ethereum",
        "holdings"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H8LW0BD3Q5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DBFCWG8FL6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x75e1cd26f8df239b3d20f7733397a4c87c9cf832a3dc1b83474668921c07e63d",
      "question": "Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitmine officially announces that the company’s total Ethereum holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings.\n\nFor reference, Bitmine's reported ETH holdings can be tracked at: https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "9M ETH: The named company's official announcement of total Ethereum holdings, tracked via SEC filings and investor relations disclosures, by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitmine officially announces that the company’s total Ethereum holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings.\n\nFor reference, Bitmine's reported ETH holdings can be tracked at: https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bitminetech.io",
            "url": "https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bitmine",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-01T03:00:47.428Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4283.072332000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 9000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E9989ED4EB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitmine",
        "ethereum",
        "holdings"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V7G1S6ZWX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-05-12T09:19:07Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DBFCWG8FL6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}