{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GJX4RZ4FK9",
  "slug": "will-brics-add-a-new-member-in-2026",
  "question": "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "international-relations",
    "brics",
    "2026",
    "membership-expansion",
    "emerging-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether BRICS formally admits at least one new full member state by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies on official BRICS member state announcements and the BRICS official website. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle serves as the settlement mechanism. No cross-platform structural contrast is available; only one market exists under this event.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PZ4NW7R169",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.25,
    "implied_probability": 0.25
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PZ4NW7R169",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GJX4RZ4FK9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0915a4e670a3465fc5ae4e781ac5499c353c9a83330583f2554933b6e5ff6012",
      "question": "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "BRICS member states' official announcements and the BRICS official website determine whether a new country accepted membership between market creation and December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "brics.br",
            "url": "https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "brics.br",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 38098.58192799999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brics",
        "brics membership expansion",
        "geopolitics",
        "international-organization"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GJX4RZ4FK9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}