{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5Q2P15LK56",
  "slug": "will-broadcom-q2-ai-revenue-be-above",
  "question": "Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "broadcom",
    "ai-revenue",
    "earnings-forecast",
    "semiconductor",
    "q2-2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Broadcom's AI revenue figure from its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings release. Four binary strike thresholds span $10.5B to $12.0B, allowing traders to imply a probability distribution across the revenue range. All four resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Broadcom's official earnings materials. Resolution is set for June 3, 2026, coinciding with the expected earnings release date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QQ1X3SJ770",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QQ1X3SJ770",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5Q2P15LK56",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4b27a743f14f5b64bff3fea8e2b87f1453d9b9a761e6c4808e7ace6a96fec37d",
      "question": "Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Broadcom's AI revenue for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earn",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Broadcom's official earnings materials for fiscal Q2 2026 reporting AI revenue.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Broadcom's AI revenue for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Broadcom's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20.063487000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 13954.318042000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 11,
      "question_id": "CMX-2D3313D86B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ai",
        "broadcom",
        "broadcom q2 ai",
        "q2",
        "revenue"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GYV483YPH9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5Q2P15LK56",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdbbe415dfa705aa68d23544aeff38c7af168d9321d1c34c560d54a591efc4faf",
      "question": "Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $12.0B?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Broadcom's AI revenue for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earn",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Broadcom's official earnings materials for fiscal Q2 2026 reporting AI revenue.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Broadcom's AI revenue for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Broadcom's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 115,
      "volume_total_usd": 2367.1926899999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 12,
      "question_id": "CMX-4AFDBAE66D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ai",
        "broadcom",
        "broadcom q2 ai",
        "q2",
        "revenue"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HDT3C751V5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5Q2P15LK56",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb1ef0f9c20547babc0441710c29837d28fd00595bfe46d04cbde20b95cd70acd",
      "question": "Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $10.5B?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Broadcom's AI revenue for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earn",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Broadcom's official earnings materials for fiscal Q2 2026 reporting AI revenue.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Broadcom's AI revenue for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Broadcom's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2521.381473000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 10.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-E71A0932EB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ai",
        "broadcom",
        "broadcom q2 ai",
        "q2",
        "revenue"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D1L1L6FD12",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5Q2P15LK56",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x251a408ccc25a63b9cca8606dfc0a3d7b4f2c1e77f810c9c86c39138b8c3dc26",
      "question": "Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.5B?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Broadcom's AI revenue for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earn",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Broadcom's official earnings materials for fiscal Q2 2026 reporting AI revenue.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Broadcom's AI revenue for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Broadcom's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 951.481327,
      "volume_total_usd": 8169.047632999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 11.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-5C036750A0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ai",
        "broadcom",
        "broadcom q2 ai",
        "q2",
        "revenue"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QQ1X3SJ770",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GYV483YPH9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HDT3C751V5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D1L1L6FD12",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5Q2P15LK56",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}