{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CQ83J12N14",
  "slug": "will-consensys-ipo-by-december-31-2025",
  "question": "Will Consensys have an initial public offering by 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "crypto",
    "finance",
    "ipo",
    "consensys",
    "equity-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Consensys, the Ethereum software firm, completes an IPO by each respective deadline. The five binary contracts form a sequential probability ladder across 2025 and 2026 cutoffs. Each resolves through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against publicly available IPO filing or listing records. Traders can isolate timing risk by comparing implied probabilities across the ladder's quarterly strikes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Z7R3N33LQ9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.043,
    "implied_probability": 0.043
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CQ83J12N14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x35a5e1e8b3ca381b5197bc3d59e1f9cfb9b64273ba5ac749a144985508009a9d",
      "question": "Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2025: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T09:35:37Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 50,
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 38541.872363,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-35ECF798CA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ipo"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CQ83J12N14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 126,
      "volume_total_usd": 28873.544959999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CCAD2A23ED",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CQ83J12N14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc77afcdef0b197e64f5ff18610db85233f2d7544fc3c609a7fca22d67da95fe1",
      "question": "Will Consensys IPO by March 31 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T06:13:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 29516.218443000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3AFCFCBDB7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z7R3N33LQ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CQ83J12N14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x239b9eb8c8a176360c0e732e359c0086e4f7c321c53df88eba6bf9c67f41b637",
      "question": "Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.043,
      "implied_probability": 0.043,
      "volume_24h_usd": 232.524236,
      "volume_total_usd": 169983.59663099988,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": "CMX-11CCBA3ED4",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H5R139GZW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CQ83J12N14",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xbab3d060ed4ce246b1f383dc47fd9fa210ef79c9a7b76c4a428236f1cf17ef0f",
      "question": "Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T09:35:37Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-CQ83J12N14",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}