{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z36GDM1Q63",
  "slug": "will-crowdstrike-q1-net-new-arr-be-above",
  "question": "Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $250M?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "crowdstrike",
    "arr-metric",
    "q1-2026",
    "saas-growth",
    "tech"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track CrowdStrike's net new ARR reported in fiscal Q1 2027 earnings materials. All four are Polymarket binary strikes at $225M, $250M, $275M, and $300M thresholds, forming an implied probability distribution over the ARR range. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against CrowdStrike's official earnings disclosures. Markets close June 3, 2026, coinciding with the expected earnings release date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CCFTRSSZG5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1M0M0DLSP4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z36GDM1Q63",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xce3245539f61170f082a818775453b63a00b61945e35d6f628385bb21cf1f6c2",
      "question": "Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $225M?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "CrowdStrike's official earnings materials for fiscal Q1 2027 reporting net new ARR.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is CrowdStrike's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2278.384528,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 225000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-27D977C935",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arr",
        "crowdstrike",
        "crowdstrike q1 net",
        "q1",
        "saas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JMFC99K2V2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z36GDM1Q63",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa7f0ff7127b91c2134db6854300d9c69498d598ceb166b5db2f2f8e9ec0c1d0d",
      "question": "Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $275M?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "CrowdStrike's official earnings materials for fiscal Q1 2027 reporting net new ARR.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is CrowdStrike's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 146.632013,
      "volume_total_usd": 7389.565790000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 275000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D7E2D749FE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arr",
        "crowdstrike",
        "crowdstrike q1 net",
        "q1",
        "saas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CCFTRSSZG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z36GDM1Q63",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x75176f4c2e417cb0ebf7f00026c7df1b3e96fb06fa722f099bc02852b6410e7f",
      "question": "Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $250M?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "CrowdStrike's official earnings materials for fiscal Q1 2027 reporting net new ARR.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is CrowdStrike's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 144.94,
      "volume_total_usd": 9733.834447999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 250000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-36101FA918",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arr",
        "crowdstrike",
        "crowdstrike q1 net",
        "q1",
        "saas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-81G7WYNPM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z36GDM1Q63",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2b532ea6fab0c99e1aee3a3ffb590cf1ea90f5cee7faf0920afdfedfb3169a79",
      "question": "Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $300M?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "CrowdStrike's official earnings materials for fiscal Q1 2027 reporting net new ARR.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is CrowdStrike's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 30.61,
      "volume_total_usd": 3932.499435,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B48647ABCA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arr",
        "crowdstrike",
        "crowdstrike q1 net",
        "q1",
        "saas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1M0M0DLSP4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JMFC99K2V2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CCFTRSSZG5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-81G7WYNPM6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-Z36GDM1Q63",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}