{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
  "slug": "will-databricks-valuation-hit-by-december-31",
  "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "databricks-valuation",
    "tech-unicorn",
    "private-company-valuation",
    "ai-infrastructure",
    "venture-capital"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Databricks' valuation crosses discrete strike thresholds by December 31, 2026. Polymarket structures each contract as a directional binary: HIGH strikes require the valuation to trade at or above the level; LOW strikes require it to trade at or below. Together, the ladder of strikes from $125B to $300B implies a continuous probability distribution over Databricks' valuation range. Nasdaq Private Market LLC publishes the authoritative daily valuation at 1:00 PM ET, with resolution handled by Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-3D5VH3PRZ8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.6,
    "implied_probability": 0.6
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-70KPZXQGK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7f4ebe86ccefbda94f9e2a3b8d144de5b7ff2dab64066d3fa19fb35e3cb8292f",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$225B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 894.400418,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 225000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-ED499B41D3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MMD8N0VD62",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0d28984b01986db6824df82fbcebbf3cba7f830923fc28fe8658598e93d10a0f",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$190B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.585651,
      "volume_total_usd": 4245.560595,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 190000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-BAD6322150",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KJX5ZD1XD9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x13e71b0cb776589f1d9ee3579e7b3db004ff9aa6eeded8c6ce0e4174468cb395",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $160B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$160B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3354.948434,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 160000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-470839D767",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-12WYDSML35",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc6d79b4f7f008751451dd1a50035aa0ce227a5e0573d32805aeae3720f0ee160",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓$135B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1589.8516539999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 135000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-45248AF47C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VZP2PHBY60",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1645e84eba76054f1f879938aab04034fe48a491d671f352a099ee4f60cfca2c",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓$125B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 423.043475,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 125000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C4C8E714DF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GJ2GMB1PC8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7416088efbb11ecf399536b5890766be829715acabbc2b8631a0442f7903ad10",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$250B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 280,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 250000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-6E53BC81C4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3D5VH3PRZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xde6a54170bc8753899d56fa5baaeceae64a2f80e1bbd25f5b7928e3968b20f9a",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$170B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.6,
      "implied_probability": 0.6,
      "volume_24h_usd": 160.37,
      "volume_total_usd": 5291.185522,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 170000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1B65B32F24",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0T2YQNFDR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x589df57dcec0bdbb8a12de62f0ceb988a80a31015a8f474e134fae17e42df07f",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$300B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1506.6963159999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-EBB2B28064",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TZYCP4BLS2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x892c525f748c60d04c0c94729f18eca9e38f52a66a38039d436048558769fcf0",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$200B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": 60.151503,
      "volume_total_usd": 1370.4962610000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FF139DC257",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DVNY3K0L16",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x806aba290e64c23658dbf9a508a52f19fe2afd7dd2aec2cee96b27b2e2a86ab1",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓$130B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 325.055729,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 130000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1587637AAF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KCMCYR5ZY4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3288c98696dcd907522a06cf31edaf952a51ea7b57110b8bd9b5c623a4e8b7af",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$180B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": 58.908332,
      "volume_total_usd": 3348.010284000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 180000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B36B025E1B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8VQCRK9129",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4975dc0ce78d9cb390a4a421e0eef3c1fa64a5d771a218a0e46f7a4f21e137b8",
      "question": "Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓$140B: Nasdaq Private Market LLC (NPM) publishes the listed company's valuation price daily at 1:00 PM ET; market resolves Yes if valuation reaches or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.\n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fe.secondmarket.com",
            "url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official IPO or direct listing price",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1799.556362,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 140000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-023FEF4933",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "databricks",
        "private",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-4X66BNN9N3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}