{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-P54SDG6NP7",
  "slug": "will-democrats-win-all-core-four-senate-races",
  "question": "Will Democrats win all four core Senate races?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "us-senate",
    "2026-midterms",
    "democratic-party",
    "swing-seats"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Democrats sweep all four targeted Senate seats in the 2026 midterm cycle. The four races span Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and a fourth state named in the resolution criteria. A single Democratic loss in any contest resolves the market negative. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using certified election results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0HP357CR83",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.55,
    "implied_probability": 0.55
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0HP357CR83",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P54SDG6NP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x096f26b2abcfde3ee7863e7916ca17682522715f7631debd4878a43ee6c797a9",
      "question": "Will Democrats win all \"core four\" senate races?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).\n\nA candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Democratic Party's official nominees who win the 2026 U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (including runoffs by November 3, 2026) determine this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).\n\nA candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.55,
      "implied_probability": 0.55,
      "volume_24h_usd": 35.361701,
      "volume_total_usd": 14105.084017000005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "core four races",
        "democratic party senate",
        "democrats",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-P54SDG6NP7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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