{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1Q79GTQRS7",
  "slug": "will-ethereum-hit-1k-or-3k-first",
  "question": "Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "ethereum",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-milestone",
    "comparative-outcome",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Ethereum reaches $1,000 or $3,000 first, resolving by December 31, 2026. Binance ETH/USDT \"High\" and \"Low\" prices serve as the authoritative data source. Resolution occurs via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. A single intraday wick to either threshold is sufficient to settle the outcome.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-63CXLY4PK7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.52,
    "implied_probability": 0.52
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-63CXLY4PK7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1Q79GTQRS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x094725e5691f06b1895496ab0823b3f843c3be680f870cb721958d4e4d280a55",
      "question": "Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Ethereum’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period.\n\nIf neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"High\" and \"Low\" prices currently available ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Binance ETH/USDT \"High\" and \"Low\" prices through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET determine whether Ethereum reaches $1,000 or $3,000 first.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Ethereum’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period.\n\nIf neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"High\" and \"Low\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 24.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 93546.09132200002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D257A14B83",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "milestone",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-1Q79GTQRS7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}