{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-84KNXK6W41",
  "slug": "will-extended-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will Extended launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "extended-protocol",
    "2027",
    "project-milestone"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Extended, a crypto project, will launch a token across five sequential deadlines spanning December 31, 2025 through December 31, 2026. Each Polymarket binary resolves independently, creating a term structure of launch probability across quarterly horizons. The December 2025 deadline has passed; that contract resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle on January 1, 2026. Later tranches remain live, with resolution contingent on verifiable token launch confirmation under the same UMA protocol.",
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    "as_of": null
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x8bc8145c213bae70786fce3599ff1dd4272dd02d7a94e756b5653f66a03e40c5",
      "question": "Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2025?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2025: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T11:13:13Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/extendedapp",
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            "url": "https://x.com/extendedapp",
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      "question": "Will Extended launch a token by March 31 2026?",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xfe4425817cc4ac71bf9f9da024a5341090fb6022da114061b1a1af53117213b0",
      "question": "Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T10:52:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/extendedapp",
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            "url": "https://x.com/extendedapp",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
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      "question_id": "CMX-9BF55BB7D8",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WP40CTT7Q2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-84KNXK6W41",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4204709db9aa84a9f39649954ef58d35065fd3ba21f16c0c75fdc1b601ea03f0",
      "question": "Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "implied_probability": 0.007,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T05:00:35.185Z",
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      "question": "Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-84KNXK6W41",
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}