{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BBBJR96P61",
  "slug": "will-gamestop-acquire-ebay",
  "question": "Will GameStop acquire eBay by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "m-and-a",
    "gamestop",
    "ebay",
    "retail-tech"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether GameStop will complete or announce an acquisition of eBay by December 31, 2026. Resolution requires an official announcement by either eBay Inc. or GameStop confirming a merger or acquisition. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle governs settlement. No corroborating exchange or regulatory filing currently supports such a transaction.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WWKRMRW1W1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.15,
    "implied_probability": 0.15
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WWKRMRW1W1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BBBJR96P61",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x32e869cb0f7316273417ec79aa94c8a139f8c390ebff8a24150a18753d257f8e",
      "question": "Will GameStop acquire eBay?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.\n\nAn announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "An official announcement by eBay Inc. or GameStop of an acquisition or merger between the two companies by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.\n\nAn announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from eBay and GameStop",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10922.298918999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 2179789.328010985,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-668B0D0580",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-J212NWFP13",
          "price": 0.15
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "ebay",
        "gamestop",
        "gamestop acquisition ebay",
        "m&a"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-BBBJR96P61",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}