{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SN81DFWXK0",
  "slug": "will-gmgn-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will GMGN launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "gmgn",
    "defi",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether GMGN, a crypto trading platform, will launch a native token by specified deadlines. All four markets are structured as binary outcome questions on Polymarket, spanning deadlines from December 31, 2025 through December 31, 2027. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against publicly verifiable token launch evidence. The December 31, 2025 deadline market has a resolve_at of January 1, 2026, indicating it has already settled.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NG1M46P1Q8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SN81DFWXK0",
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      "question": "Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2025: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T08:22:43Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gmgn.ai/app",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "gmgn.ai",
            "url": "https://gmgn.ai/app",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "GMGN",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-EE50F42A07",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gmgn",
        "launch",
        "token"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TXWPX42FW5",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x7c766e85bfe1b85b10f5a3d130d1b1772645c797038567fad69db4ae70b19b99",
      "question": "Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gmgn.ai/app",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "gmgn.ai",
            "url": "https://gmgn.ai/app",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "GMGN",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13880.306043999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-66D205A446",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "token"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HMKNN1T018",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SN81DFWXK0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd7ac726f7876f557b90fa40a544be1358cb6d2f903db72e76cf32c7f64c15344",
      "question": "Will GMGN launch a token by March 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:33:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gmgn.ai/app",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "gmgn.ai",
            "url": "https://gmgn.ai/app",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "GMGN",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 43598.94284500001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-E7768410D4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gmgn",
        "launch",
        "token"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KR3HSRRNH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SN81DFWXK0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe8d591c94cb09c4972cf53851e581b5c91f68fe71e89f30bba3dd012cf9206b1",
      "question": "Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gmgn.ai/app",
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            "url": "https://gmgn.ai/app",
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      "question_id": "CMX-6D7A0831C2",
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      "tags": [
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        "token"
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  "resolution_log": [
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      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T08:22:43Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SN81DFWXK0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}