{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y90FC42JT9",
  "slug": "will-grahm-platner-drop-out-before-the-midterms-20260608200746523",
  "question": "Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026-midterms",
    "candidate-dropout",
    "us-politics",
    "political-decisions"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Graham Platner will withdraw from or suspend his 2026 Maine Senate campaign before the midterm elections. Resolution closes November 3, 2026, structured as a binary outcome on candidacy status. Only one platform prices this event; no cross-platform structural contrast applies. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves against an official announcement from Platner or his authorized representatives.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PGXLRGQDF5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PGXLRGQDF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y90FC42JT9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe2bcb47770659e29544e3873d3b344c72add83898377a15e93e578113e1b34b7",
      "question": "Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Graham Platner or his official representatives' announcement of withdrawal from or suspension of his 2026 Maine Senate campaign by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, confirmed by credible reporting if necessary.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-02T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 458.499545,
      "volume_total_usd": 16311.457495000004,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024-midterms",
        "candidate",
        "grahm platner",
        "politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PGXLRGQDF5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-09T02:22:28Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-Y90FC42JT9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}