{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-12C2N66JZ4",
  "slug": "will-grvt-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will GRVT launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "grvt",
    "2027",
    "defi-infrastructure",
    "binary-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether GRVT, a hybrid crypto exchange, will launch a native token by successive quarterly deadlines through December 31, 2026. The four Polymarket contracts are structured as a binary ladder: March 31, June 30, September 30, and December 31, 2026. An earlier resolution implies all later contracts also resolve YES. Resolution across all four relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
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    "implied_probability": 0.001
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "question": "Will GRVT launch a token by March 31, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:45:17Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GRVT officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://x.com/grvt_io",
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      "question": "Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T06:33:50Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GRVT officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": "CMX-EA8FF3635F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-12C2N66JZ4",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xf210e50287d59f66df7395b3e41ffaf84dccf5f4f903b20fff27117e0aa3aa5c",
      "question": "Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GRVT officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GRVT officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7920.1,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-602178F1DE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "grvt",
        "grvt token launch",
        "token"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-524W944FG2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-12C2N66JZ4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x62f191178b61750ee6aaaac34f496123cdb9300d3831953d218f14e2d608ac60",
      "question": "Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if GRVT officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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  "resolution_log": [
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-12C2N66JZ4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}