{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8Q94FGQ6B8",
  "slug": "will-hype-flip-sol-by-december-31",
  "question": "Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto-prices",
    "crypto",
    "market-cap-flip",
    "solana",
    "altcoin",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Hyperliquid's HYPE token will surpass Solana's SOL in total market capitalization by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies on CoinGecko market capitalization data, with CoinMarketCap as fallback. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle settles the binary outcome. Only one platform is active, so no cross-platform structural contrast exists here.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QLPDQ1QTH8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.08,
    "implied_probability": 0.08
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QLPDQ1QTH8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8Q94FGQ6B8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0188297b3b68b403d98b82281f12f07fe041d3277edcb8f733e9282d3abfeb76",
      "question": "Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively.\n\nIf CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "CoinGecko's market capitalization data for HYPE and SOL, or CoinMarketCap if CoinGecko becomes unavailable, as of December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively.\n\nIf CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "coingecko.com",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "coingecko.com",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinGecko",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinMarketCap",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CoinGecko",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 79,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 180607.19402299996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-807D76FACF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cryptocurrency",
        "hype",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8Q94FGQ6B8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}