{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-K6WPD9VJT9",
  "slug": "will-ink-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will Ink launch a token by 2027?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "ink-protocol",
    "2027",
    "blockchain-governance",
    "product-milestone"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Ink, the Kraken-affiliated Layer 2 network, will launch a native token by successive quarterly deadlines spanning June 2026 through December 2027. Each contract is a discrete binary, and later-dated contracts imply higher cumulative probability than earlier ones. All seven resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Token launch confirmation requires publicly verifiable on-chain deployment evidence per resolution criteria.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MPRPPNH235",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.873,
    "implied_probability": 0.873
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CMV1FJD1M8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K6WPD9VJT9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x043f693b8998224bd0d4472251aaeabba68d0cfc16ad9a15316e9b0ecf98061b",
      "question": "Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/inkonchain",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/inkonchain",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": 416.2,
      "volume_total_usd": 10214.193042000006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F10E13285C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ink",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MHBNH8ZP86",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K6WPD9VJT9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x10af2c977cfda7bab8839519f4c8f0c74dc5795826ba18026e44097c04de4f6f",
      "question": "Will Ink launch a token by June 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/inkonchain",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://x.com/inkonchain",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain)",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A06D53E702",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ink",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZMLBRVBQV4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K6WPD9VJT9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa5daaf55027b05510da885d7c3c1164fea2c8b1e8af2e67597c23fe3f0daeaba",
      "question": "Will Ink launch a token by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/inkonchain",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/inkonchain",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1974.6164140000026,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CCEAFD7564",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ink",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SCW4504TC1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K6WPD9VJT9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x32cb40e992e96970796e3c520d50eb802ed320852766438ef05bdef2fb7f230d",
      "question": "Will Ink launch a token by March 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/inkonchain",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/inkonchain",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8780E86304",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ink",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YJLJV8S232",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K6WPD9VJT9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf6e9685a12facf5faab81ccbe9f62c30aee8f7effe8387c002fc05d2335537f5",
      "question": "Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/inkonchain",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 30,
      "volume_total_usd": 5414.490127,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-ED12A3B627",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ink",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RS38V7PPN3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K6WPD9VJT9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa62de1ee45caed1d8ff4faa39103a7593014a960981164bc11d9bc7f6610d551",
      "question": "Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/inkonchain",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1685.6872200000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-14C0EA2EF6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ink",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MPRPPNH235",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K6WPD9VJT9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x80ee05b171a387e641ddd562b246f135b5fc20d1c07bf5abd620a2ec9ea375b2",
      "question": "Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://x.com/inkonchain",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ink (https://x.com/inkonchain)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.873,
      "implied_probability": 0.873,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 10634.980743,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-2F6EF6CA49",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ink",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MHBNH8ZP86",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
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