{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WYDWH2R3C9",
  "slug": "will-iran-hold-a-presidential-election-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "iran",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "middle-east",
    "political-events"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Iran conducts a presidential election on or before June 30, 2026. A single Polymarket binary resolves yes on official confirmation of completed voting. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against an authoritative announcement from Iran's government or electoral commission. No corroborating platform prices this event, limiting cross-market calibration.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HDXXL8WVC3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HDXXL8WVC3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WYDWH2R3C9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfacf7578441650ec19a86bf2d9c264744bb9180f80ad603c65204aa203bd1755",
      "question": "Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. \n\nAny announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.\n\nAllegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not b",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Iran's government or electoral commission official announcement of completed voting in a presidential election by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. \n\nAny announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.\n\nAllegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the government of Iran",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 30,
        "caps": [
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          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 256.78000000000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 717644.7254210028,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "iran",
        "iran presidential election",
        "politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HDXXL8WVC3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WYDWH2R3C9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}