{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3Z5HKV5CN2",
  "slug": "will-israel-annex-gaza-territory-by-2026",
  "question": "Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30, 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "israel-palestine",
    "territorial-sovereignty",
    "middle-east",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Israel will formally annex any Gaza Strip territory through a legal or legislative act by June 30, 2026. Only Polymarket lists this event, so no cross-platform structural contrast exists. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, which evaluates whether a qualifying official annexation act has occurred. The binary framing excludes de facto military control, requiring explicit legal formalization.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZHCFW7WRD5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZHCFW7WRD5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3Z5HKV5CN2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe2c178a3c7c4b2dd170fcfc14289ef59b421c62a117161df537eb208b9531d75",
      "question": "Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAnnexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.\n\nQualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves whether Israel officially annexes any Gaza Strip territory through a legal act or formal declaration by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAnnexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.\n\nQualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Israeli government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "A consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 30,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.06,
      "volume_total_usd": 105123.50940099936,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "annexation",
        "gaza",
        "geopolitics",
        "israel",
        "israel gaza annexation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZHCFW7WRD5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-3Z5HKV5CN2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}