{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZLNPNYSY4",
  "slug": "will-israel-annex-west-bank-territory-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "israel-palestine",
    "territorial-dispute",
    "middle-east",
    "2026",
    "international-law"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Israel formally annexes West Bank territory before 2027. A qualifying event requires an official government declaration or legal act claiming sovereignty. Resolution is handled by Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, which evaluates publicly available official documentation. The market closes December 31, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VN6YGCYSK6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.06
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VN6YGCYSK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZLNPNYSY4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x794fbb668b14dacd636ff47a39e2294148420577e38278e11adf14655ad6cfe0",
      "question": "Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAnnexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.\n\nQualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves based on whether Israel's government issues an official declaration or legal act claiming sovereignty over West Bank territory not previously claimed by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAnnexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.\n\nQualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Israeli government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 709.652869,
      "volume_total_usd": 84284.90933000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "annexation",
        "geopolitics",
        "israel",
        "israel west bank",
        "west bank"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-FZLNPNYSY4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}