{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-PW6JXRBZN1",
  "slug": "will-jake-paul-announce-a-run-for-public-office-in-2026",
  "question": "Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "celebrity-politics",
    "2026",
    "us-elections",
    "public-office",
    "announcement"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Jake Paul will formally announce a candidacy for U.S. public office by December 31, 2026. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing Jake Paul's official announcements or credible news reporting. Absence of a formal announcement by year-end 2026 resolves the market No.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2ZRC33F3L6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.09,
    "implied_probability": 0.09
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2ZRC33F3L6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PW6JXRBZN1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x20bcdd8a07d8d64a99d4ac5b66d273dfb82728d76e8035c56909382fda38a8d7",
      "question": "Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jake Paul's official announcements or credible news reporting of his statement that he will run for U.S. public office by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official announcements from Jake Paul",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15731.418351000011,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "jake paul",
        "jake paul public",
        "politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-PW6JXRBZN1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}