{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TGTNTFH210",
  "slug": "will-kamala-harris-announce-a-2028-run-for-president-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "2028-presidential",
    "candidate-announcement",
    "us-politics",
    "harris"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Kamala Harris publicly announces a 2028 presidential campaign by June 30, 2026. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing official statements from Harris or her authorized representatives. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. Ambiguous or exploratory statements short of a formal declaration likely complicate resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4TZHK9CF15",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4TZHK9CF15",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TGTNTFH210",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc80571a1a13b24f40b1855fb51b0339612d548e3a453731832768bbb94c45e68",
      "question": "Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives announce a 2028 presidential run by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 63648.99263700004,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2028 election",
        "kamala harris",
        "kamala harris 2028",
        "presidential campaign"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4TZHK9CF15",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T06:05:05Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TGTNTFH210",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}