{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QKH50XCG02",
  "slug": "will-lifi-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will LI.FI launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "lifi",
    "defi-protocols",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether LI.FI, a cross-chain liquidity aggregation protocol, launches a native token by six sequential deadlines spanning September 2026 through December 2027. Each binary resolves YES if a token launch occurs before that cutoff, making earlier strikes nested within later ones. Later-dated contracts carry strictly higher or equal probability than earlier ones. All six resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-3X8KRHBZL2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.06,
    "implied_probability": 0.06
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QD04R73JM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QKH50XCG02",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x223197e826644d87bfa367b62caaf15889f69aa53dd09cd7e92e19066441239a",
      "question": "Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.025,
      "implied_probability": 0.025,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3371.8197489999993,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-645AC8C6EC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "launch",
        "li",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3X8KRHBZL2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QKH50XCG02",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xff7064b4b4666e96196195806156f380acb035b54b4b56a8548799892d3a7af1",
      "question": "Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 8383.205194000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0497AE5777",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "launch",
        "li",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C9WWTVF4D4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QKH50XCG02",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2526d7ca0fec313070d85f6ef4d016996c854df0cd356cdd7a93f9a2463c0107",
      "question": "Will LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 681.786362,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CEBF2EE8AA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "launch",
        "li",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-346Y3QKZB4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QKH50XCG02",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5c311b7540d4efca7557e2c8e6cb7900ac279c8e28639a92677681a3776473f9",
      "question": "Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 733.761228,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0B2B9F5CF2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "launch",
        "li",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F5PFKHLTB7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QKH50XCG02",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7c4162553137a3c43b786183cb705285d2a4a98df5b8ce37cb2351e54795d8f9",
      "question": "Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1283.3292590000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C267359105",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "launch",
        "li",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HXY0K8R4T9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QKH50XCG02",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0a146060cfcfad0c69cedbf4da31bca771bfe57d024630b41cacd65f7ba6c9f0",
      "question": "Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if LI.FI officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by LI.FI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/lifiprotocol",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1642.4722590000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CA71F17AF6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "launch",
        "li",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QKH50XCG02",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}