{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z7H5KN6QR5",
  "slug": "will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Mamdani freeze New York City rents before 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "new-york-city",
    "rent-control",
    "housing-policy",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Zohran Mamdani will implement a rent freeze in New York City before January 2027. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing the New York City Rent Guidelines Board's official rent adjustment orders. The authoritative source is the Rent Guidelines Board, not any secondary reporting channel. A freeze requires a formal zero-percent adjustment order, setting a clear binary threshold for settlement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V2Z9HN8N00",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.913,
    "implied_probability": 0.913
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V2Z9HN8N00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z7H5KN6QR5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x921330240e4d92f8535d54bcb34b31750fc235761f97b064d92e54a48c2f9dca",
      "question": "Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:\n\n1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.\n\n2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise pre",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The New York City Rent Guidelines Board's official rent adjustment orders for one-year and two-year renewal leases, effective by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:\n\n1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.\n\n2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.\n\nIf the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.\n\nOrders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.\n\nIf Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "Rent Guidelines Board (consensus fallback)",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.913,
      "implied_probability": 0.913,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 281742.22785799927,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "housing policy",
        "mamdani",
        "new york city",
        "nyc rent freeze",
        "rent control"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-Z7H5KN6QR5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}