{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWHPMQF215",
  "slug": "will-metamask-launch-a-token-in-2025",
  "question": "Will MetaMask launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "metamask",
    "token-launch",
    "defi",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether MetaMask will launch a native token by successive deadline thresholds. The four Polymarket contracts are structured as escalating binary strikes: June 30, 2025, September 30, 2026, and December 31, 2026. Each resolves independently via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The near-term contract resolved at the January 1, 2026 timestamp, establishing a baseline for the remaining open strikes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-J3KVK11911",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J3KVK11911",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWHPMQF215",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x69288fa222571671b65c976e43b8e01100e527222b9e19b6a2b78998129d1ea3",
      "question": "Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Metamask officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T08:07:41Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Metamask officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Metamask",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 6182924.695208,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-61DCDCA480",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "metamask",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2GT0592C86",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWHPMQF215",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x44878f202dd18a286de9235acec372e9e6e6ca2b28d269c4138fc2604c9b78a9",
      "question": "Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Metamask officially launches a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Metamask officially launches a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Metamask",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6092.795526,
      "volume_total_usd": 1137827.1564320042,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5F278C27CC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "metamask",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ML0K7QBT97",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWHPMQF215",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x404da036e872fe1c9bdb2176564502a43f12831ddcc346395aca3146f9e71bdc",
      "question": "Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Metamask officially launches a token by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Metamask officially launches a token by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Metamask",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.036,
      "implied_probability": 0.036,
      "volume_24h_usd": 326.944641,
      "volume_total_usd": 988181.6329960017,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8ECD5869F3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "metamask",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YT800DG244",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWHPMQF215",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe8d59968fd0ca1cc27bf4a7f93b6d2d74c117e5317ec31aabbecee25ee846ee2",
      "question": "Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Metamask officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Metamask officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Metamask",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 313908.3958589995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-00FE33BF3A",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-XBWVHVCB03",
          "price": 0.3
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      ],
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "metamask",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2GT0592C86",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J3KVK11911",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T08:07:41Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TWHPMQF215",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}