{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L1ZYNSRRT3",
  "slug": "will-micron-q3-nand-revenue-be-above",
  "question": "Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "semiconductor-revenue",
    "micron",
    "nand-flash",
    "quarterly-earnings",
    "finance"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Micron's NAND segment revenue for fiscal Q3 2026. Four binary strikes ($7.0B, $7.5B, $8.0B, $8.5B) form an implied probability ladder across the revenue range. Each higher strike must price at or below the one below it, creating a structural consistency constraint traders can exploit. Resolution relies on Micron's official earnings materials via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, with results expected by June 24, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1V9QLGHTQ2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X85QR1Q6Q7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L1ZYNSRRT3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4c9f393315ef534dc587317d75044526f2f0647062371429b40894b1f281c43a",
      "question": "Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.0B?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$7.0B: The listed company's official earnings materials and investor presentation for fiscal Q3 2026, released by June 24, 2026, determine NAND revenue against the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "press releases",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "investor presentations",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 117.37,
      "volume_total_usd": 4729.555712,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7,
      "question_id": "CMX-F1330E88D1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "micron",
        "micron q3 nand",
        "nand",
        "q3",
        "revenue"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y0GS4PT2T4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L1ZYNSRRT3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6d9e1d39ef5dcd32f975b6aa45aca90d00694c85042f14ebaeabfb8792d82833",
      "question": "Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.5B?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$7.5B: The listed company's official earnings materials and investor presentation for fiscal Q3 2026, released by June 24, 2026, determine NAND revenue against the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "press releases",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "investor presentations",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 37.38,
      "volume_total_usd": 1417.5261690000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-32D33C67A6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "micron",
        "micron q3 nand",
        "nand",
        "q3",
        "revenue"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1V9QLGHTQ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L1ZYNSRRT3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x034db17cf7879f34ca7ff90814d7bdbf4bb1b0081de899de1dedeb5bee08d414",
      "question": "Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$8.0B: The listed company's official earnings materials and investor presentation for fiscal Q3 2026, released by June 24, 2026, determine NAND revenue against the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "press releases",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "investor presentations",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 7524.368854999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8,
      "question_id": "CMX-9168811A2A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "micron",
        "micron q3 nand",
        "nand",
        "q3",
        "revenue"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LVWZGT20W9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L1ZYNSRRT3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3c2943737af6ce95bd29ff1f3f6fbedbbc92ad7e19364fa1db2b8e2fb1a6a03a",
      "question": "Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.5B?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$8.5B: The listed company's official earnings materials and investor presentation for fiscal Q3 2026, released by June 24, 2026, determine NAND revenue against the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "press releases",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "investor presentations",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 5258.578817999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-2809565F48",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "micron",
        "micron q3 nand",
        "nand",
        "q3",
        "revenue"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LVWZGT20W9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T23:53:32Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y0GS4PT2T4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T22:23:05Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1V9QLGHTQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T22:23:05Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X85QR1Q6Q7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T22:18:02Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-L1ZYNSRRT3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}