{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5164WKTMF7",
  "slug": "will-microstrategy-announce-bankruptcy-before-2027",
  "question": "Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin-treasury",
    "corporate-bankruptcy",
    "microstrategy",
    "2026-resolution",
    "tech-finance"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether MicroStrategy will file for bankruptcy protection before January 1, 2027. It is listed solely on Polymarket; no cross-platform structural contrast applies. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing MicroStrategy's official announcements or credible reporting of a bankruptcy filing. The authoritative source is MicroStrategy's own corporate and legal disclosures.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JLVXZMHJ75",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.039,
    "implied_probability": 0.039
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JLVXZMHJ75",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5164WKTMF7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x618179e144fb28458cbad29f2b30ea212dfbf9907bcfdf5d41e869aa0f085b51",
      "question": "Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MicroStrategy announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents MicroStrategy.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "MicroStrategy's official announcements through verified CEO, legal representation, or credible news reporting of a bankruptcy announcement through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MicroStrategy announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn announcement will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.\n\nThe announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents MicroStrategy.\n\nA definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.039,
      "implied_probability": 0.039,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 191020.4080639999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-32E8E5991D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bankruptcy",
        "corporate",
        "microstrategy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5164WKTMF7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}