{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-PFG18CWL70",
  "slug": "will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31",
  "question": "Will MicroStrategy be delisted from the MSCI index by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "stock-indices",
    "microstrategy",
    "delisting",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is removed from an MSCI equity index by three sequential deadlines in 2026. The March 31 market has resolved, with a resolve timestamp of April 1, 2026. The June 30 and December 31 markets remain open, pricing progressively longer horizons for the same binary outcome. All three resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against MSCI index constituent data.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7KKR39SL31",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7KKR39SL31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PFG18CWL70",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x655956d1c0b2f22f12ec62968419dbfac2115b34b441de712bec453545e9e186",
      "question": "Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.\n\nAn official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:17:07Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.\n\nAn official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official MSCI communication",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1002657.012980999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D88A57E84B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "delisting",
        "index",
        "microstrategy",
        "msci",
        "mstr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NLPFQH2XZ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PFG18CWL70",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfab9157577726222d03cbd0e886c749e852a877d3e8ee92900ea3f180b79d778",
      "question": "Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.\n\nAn official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T16:02:08Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.\n\nAn official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official MSCI communication",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 173134.49174399994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-59D503A972",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "delisting",
        "index",
        "microstrategy",
        "msci",
        "mstr"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-54VYKFW809",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PFG18CWL70",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1f2f8b7de407213b780d16021977b90cea238c9787d07957133569ac83aa0b3b",
      "question": "Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.\n\nAn official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.\n\nAn official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official MSCI communication",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1032.4293230000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-474BA767B9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "delisting",
        "index",
        "microstrategy",
        "msci",
        "mstr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NLPFQH2XZ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:02:08Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7KKR39SL31",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T08:17:07Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-PFG18CWL70",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}