{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9DBYNLBPG3",
  "slug": "will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-from-the-senate-before-his-term-ends",
  "question": "Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "congress",
    "senate-leadership",
    "mitch-mcconnell",
    "us-senate",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Senator Mitch McConnell vacates his Senate seat before his term expires on January 3, 2027. The single Polymarket binary prices the resignation outcome directly. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using official statements from McConnell's office as the authoritative source. No conflicting platform structures this event differently.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-N983PCF993",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.32,
    "implied_probability": 0.32
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N983PCF993",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9DBYNLBPG3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x15d2e66dcf1d63c5695d6d0e9e2f8e06dd246d00fd5dfc254f2b22baa33bfa1b",
      "question": "Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nAn announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or offi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office, or his representatives announcing resignation or early departure from his Senate seat before January 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nAn announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 41949.878112000006,
      "volume_total_usd": 948542.1006540002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mitch mcconnell",
        "mitch mcconnell senate",
        "political event",
        "resignation",
        "us senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-9DBYNLBPG3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}