{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1L4N98HQ2",
  "slug": "will-multiplifi-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will Multipli.fi launch a token by 2027?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "multipli-fi",
    "defi",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Multipli.fi, a DeFi protocol, launches a token across seven discrete deadline thresholds. Each market is a binary outcome priced at a successively later cutoff, from June 30, 2026 through December 31, 2027. Earlier deadlines imply lower probability; later deadlines price cumulative launch likelihood across a longer window. All seven resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against on-chain or publicly verifiable launch evidence.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-S3110TM6H4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MXK5K6YF48",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1L4N98HQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x43878fe9645441fe1ae6b4eada260b6061ba5461a659193a9c72014761874c39",
      "question": "Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/multiplifi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/multiplifi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
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        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "volume_24h_usd": 962.8199999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 11835.648512,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-47EA3B4A64",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "multipli token launch",
        "multipli.fi",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G7C0JBVPY4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1L4N98HQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2bba722dadb8ef6197eed4e5736cacb0c978085e4478ef2c43070d3f5365f29a",
      "question": "Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/multiplifi",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://x.com/multiplifi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-142DC6DE05",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "multipli token launch",
        "multipli.fi",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HRNM2ZL6S7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1L4N98HQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8adf4d452d7d3046ff897953c2a548d4d8e9918547b56dceab38c7a542367c37",
      "question": "Will Multipli.fi launch a token by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/multiplifi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/multiplifi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-18AD86FAE3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "multipli token launch",
        "multipli.fi",
        "token"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1QS97MP8L9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1L4N98HQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbb505daf2f4fcecae3e85dc5c186d6074aa2be6afc20c39536028124528867cc",
      "question": "Will Multipli.fi launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/multiplifi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/multiplifi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C3D2D96F0C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "multipli token launch",
        "multipli.fi",
        "token"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KR90WPGLP0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1L4N98HQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf190d3f2056bb07ddd31df033d55cf1a96906ca003ef8e3cfad370df270f94d4",
      "question": "Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/multiplifi",
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          {
            "name": "Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi)",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.58,
      "implied_probability": 0.58,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1608.0099999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 10479.735435000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6B51A56BF5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "multipli.fi",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S3110TM6H4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1L4N98HQ2",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe0f06fd37fb1429457ef3f3e1d9455c8df4c7fce0a924f9a22ae46cac17907b2",
      "question": "Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/multiplifi",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2626.768535,
      "volume_total_usd": 39792.57955300001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0B86B65FCA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "multipli token launch",
        "multipli.fi",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-93GX803KN2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1L4N98HQ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2951669d42e07cead9c3c91aa87d60cc35023433da110aaadde8ea8d7529c7a8",
      "question": "Will Multipli.fi launch a token by March 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Multiplifi officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Multiplifi will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/multiplifi",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Multiplifi (https://x.com/multiplifi)",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      },
      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-24237A89F8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "multipli token launch",
        "multipli.fi",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G7C0JBVPY4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1QS97MP8L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2027-10-01T03:59:00Z",
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