{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GHDWYM4PY0",
  "slug": "will-netanyahu-visit-new-york-city-byptptpt-20260722053445708",
  "question": "Will Netanyahu visit New York City by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "politics",
    "israel",
    "travel-diplomacy",
    "2026",
    "nyc"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will make a physical visit to New York City by four successive 2026 deadlines: July 31, August 31, September 30, and December 31. All four are binary outcome markets on Polymarket, structured as sequential strike dates rather than competing outcomes. A visit satisfying an earlier deadline would logically resolve all later deadlines as well. Resolution for each contract follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-XPGCJQ6TB3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XPGCJQ6TB3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GHDWYM4PY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x96c8aee154d1742fc090432ec5dfe21c80ce569cc010ffa63a18b135c3d4eb15",
      "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.\n\nEntering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.\n\nLanding at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T06:15:29Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.\n\nEntering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.\n\nLanding at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 49,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 153916.92640699993,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "benjamin netanyahu",
        "netanyahu",
        "nyc",
        "travel"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N4WVWG4FM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GHDWYM4PY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x236fabcdc7506a5bde811505d8dc35863599dfea80ac3d39ac6f6d28dc922b08",
      "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.\n\nEntering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.\n\nLanding at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.\n\nEntering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.\n\nLanding at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 49,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1957.2558080000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 60405.09208200001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "benjamin netanyahu",
        "netanyahu",
        "nyc",
        "travel"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8262SG5WT3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GHDWYM4PY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5d02cb8ef8fe6c50dd2d58283dfe5742b4f13cfa5acbaa4b75dc25a438c6594d",
      "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.\n\nEntering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.\n\nLanding at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.\n\nEntering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.\n\nLanding at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 49,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.91,
      "implied_probability": 0.91,
      "volume_24h_usd": 305.55,
      "volume_total_usd": 26144.001411000012,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "benjamin netanyahu",
        "netanyahu",
        "nyc",
        "travel"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-13Y8RJCVG1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GHDWYM4PY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x41093c21585df782d66738eab03b02f67f64b7ab24f578d6210daa5aead1e949",
      "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.\n\nEntering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.\n\nLanding at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.\n\nEntering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.\n\nLanding at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 49,
        "caps": [
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "netanyahu",
        "nyc",
        "travel"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XPGCJQ6TB3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-01T06:15:29Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GHDWYM4PY0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}