{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2L8D1Y0ZB0",
  "slug": "will-nigel-farage-up-his-vote-share-in-clacton-20260707171746907",
  "question": "Will Nigel Farage increase his vote share in Clacton?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "uk-politics",
    "elections-2026",
    "clacton-constituency",
    "farage",
    "vote-share"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Nigel Farage increases his vote share in the Clacton by-election relative to his prior result. The Electoral Commission publishes official vote share percentages and serves as the authoritative source for resolution. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves the binary outcome against those published figures.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4RPHV10LF1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.983,
    "implied_probability": 0.983,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4RPHV10LF1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2L8D1Y0ZB0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf64012ebd40bc164f270661c0961189410b46b8904ba75b577b402a7b0ca7ce9",
      "question": "Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPercentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf Nigel",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Electoral Commission publishes the official results and vote share percentages for the Clacton by-election and the 2024 Clacton general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-13T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-13T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPercentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tendringdc.gov.uk",
            "url": "https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "parliament.uk",
            "url": "https://www.parliament.uk/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tendringdc.gov.uk",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.983,
      "implied_probability": 0.983,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 200.586,
      "volume_total_usd": 20736.414172,
      "settlement_style": "relative",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "clacton",
        "farage",
        "nigel farage clacton",
        "uk-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-2L8D1Y0ZB0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}