{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NF15GWSSG2",
  "slug": "will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-by-2027",
  "question": "Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by the end of 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "north-korea",
    "south-korea",
    "diplomacy",
    "2026",
    "bilateral-negotiations"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track whether North and South Korea hold direct diplomatic talks. The June 30 contract prices near-term probability; the December 31 contract prices full-year probability. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Traders can express views on timing by comparing the two strikes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MX0DCYQF37",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.012,
    "implied_probability": 0.012
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-32RJXY1JF1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NF15GWSSG2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7c513d86aa40c0ea18b4a4114d16f52162ee3d475561700416f4d61579ee49ef",
      "question": "Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. \n\nRoutine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. \n\nThe re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. \n\nRoutine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. \n\nThe resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 157.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 24458.271321,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "geopolitics",
        "korea",
        "north and south"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MX0DCYQF37",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NF15GWSSG2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2fd0c0a6ab43aea7cb0b433c9555d5515d8c5ecfb825a11c3b47ef91b92694e5",
      "question": "Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. \n\nRoutine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. \n\nThe resolu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T06:30:19Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. \n\nRoutine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. \n\nThe resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.012,
      "implied_probability": 0.012,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 83751.80514200003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "geopolitics",
        "korea",
        "north and south"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MX0DCYQF37",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T06:30:19Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NF15GWSSG2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}