{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YVYB61QNS7",
  "slug": "will-o1-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will o1 launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "o1",
    "ai-tokenomics",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether o1 will launch a crypto token by successive deadline dates. All eight are Polymarket binary contracts structured as cumulative deadline tranches spanning March 2026 through December 2027. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The March 31, 2026 contract carried a resolve_at timestamp of April 1, 2026, placing it already in resolved status as of today.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4BQLG69M79",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.006,
    "implied_probability": 0.006
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4BQLG69M79",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YVYB61QNS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x18e0bae7e0e228e57be2d852f1a38f94d0a204a3c44079b0d369b4c9f71bf8ba",
      "question": "Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:36:07Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 15896.911336,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-500ED40CAB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "o1",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QVFPR6CJD0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YVYB61QNS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcd7f93a5e2d0919298caceeb694b7541cb04ab3891698987c8f8686eaa30b01e",
      "question": "Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2102.472858,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6FC1EE46AD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "o1",
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      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8F0BLF4VM1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YVYB61QNS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdd3d42c081d91ecf2a99f5db66968f3e88daf162eec39f0e1d9ec6f50072e33b",
      "question": "Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1077.65,
      "volume_total_usd": 15468.896422999971,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-FCFC436104",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "o1",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RW2WWRNLP8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YVYB61QNS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x984a4d8a55d9de984811a3be1350461b1fe418a3a9c8be183f27eebee8d3044c",
      "question": "Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1162.5078290000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3F3FD9D316",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "o1",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZKBB4Q6P44",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YVYB61QNS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xec37b4aa424a2dafd3708afad60b817b7a3c05d20133af5ae6d9e89708ac4d57",
      "question": "Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange)",
            "url": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 133.59,
      "volume_total_usd": 5922.945639,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A3BB2D7176",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "o1",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GPKCLK3QH8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YVYB61QNS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaf35affe20a84d95d4bb87bca25dc118cecf8b4abd7917e89dd052cf4bc9eed9",
      "question": "Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
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        "source_quality": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 767.020862,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": "CMX-8D03228FA9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TMCBFK7WQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YVYB61QNS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6482e21c7b0fa011b9648bf54a61f7eee11d50826ab86acfe6c795205c45f507",
      "question": "Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 602.6155699999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3DF666311E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "o1",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HC3G5RGL25",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YVYB61QNS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x55a990a1ec15480a5b8f3e91ad912b7bb0e564ad79ab4bc22261017af8f1f279",
      "question": "Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/o1_exchange",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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