{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-56FDWMH6L1",
  "slug": "will-ostium-launch-a-token-in-2025",
  "question": "Will Ostium launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "ostium",
    "2026",
    "defi-ecosystem"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Ostium, a crypto protocol, launches a native token by specified deadlines. Both markets are Polymarket binary outcome questions; the 2025 market resolves by December 31, 2025, and the 2026 market extends that horizon by one year. Both settle via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The 2025 market resolved at 2026-01-01T07:56:51Z.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZS8T5KGV98",
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    "implied_probability": 0.21
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-56FDWMH6L1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4b3da23c0f1a8e57660936ec7fb95527749127db509815e8406c4ad944f36aa0",
      "question": "Will Ostium launch a token in 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ostium Labs officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ostium Labs, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2025: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T07:56:51Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ostium Labs officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ostium Labs, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Ostium Labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 40,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-359B461F6A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "ostium",
        "token"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-56FDWMH6L1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf9ef8c1386d8ee35b4ea45c585a8b9ea0e61e755b43a721cc8a784ea1c210970",
      "question": "Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ostium Labs officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ostium Labs, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ostium Labs officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ostium Labs, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 107.095237,
      "volume_total_usd": 240933.66825499994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-723B69FBBC",
      "also_on": [
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          "market_id": "CM-MKT-79R3RDDFX0",
          "price": 0.55
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      "tags": [
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        "ostium",
        "token"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LRTKCY9FH0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T07:56:51Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-56FDWMH6L1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}