{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DL8JP5X05",
  "slug": "will-pacifica-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will Pacifica launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "pacifica",
    "defi",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Pacifica will launch a token across five sequential deadlines. Each contract is a binary outcome tied to a discrete cutoff: December 31 2025, March 31 2026, June 30 2026, September 30 2026, and December 31 2026. Later-dated contracts imply cumulative probability; a YES on an earlier strike makes later strikes redundant. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing Pacifica's official announcements and credible reporting.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VDGJCWF4B3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.001,
    "as_of": null
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1SP7K318N2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DL8JP5X05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3e0e86909e348c069cac99891b99003bda5865993952b288174456b0e5bfb0ae",
      "question": "Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31 2025: Pacifica's official announcements and credible reporting will confirm whether the listed company launches an actively tradable governance token by March 31, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T09:20:33Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/pacifica_fi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/pacifica_fi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "information from Pacifica",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 35616.084285,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3E0AA3B7F0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "pacifica",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VDGJCWF4B3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DL8JP5X05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x089df324aaa0cab25c44029aaed865097711e7e932d1245292d9ee048269b10d",
      "question": "Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31 2026: Pacifica's official announcements and credible reporting will confirm whether the listed company launches an actively tradable governance token by March 31, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T09:39:53Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/pacifica_fi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/pacifica_fi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "information from Pacifica",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 40,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 59206.79241200001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C5916FC6C1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "pacifica",
        "token"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-44QBFPJMS3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DL8JP5X05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4bc637bd708d1116fe54caff1734d3df2675945dc8bc69b040cda3f18e2abf12",
      "question": "Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30 2026: Pacifica's official announcements and credible reporting will confirm whether the listed company launches an actively tradable governance token by March 31, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T08:23:53Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/pacifica_fi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/pacifica_fi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "information from Pacifica",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 30869.571516,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-E3BF895E0B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "pacifica",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YCCPR2VX12",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DL8JP5X05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x51c5e348aef1652d6ad226364563b281f441c516dbc851ebfca20ed74f7e590d",
      "question": "Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30 2026: Pacifica's official announcements and credible reporting will confirm whether the listed company launches an actively tradable governance token by March 31, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/pacifica_fi",
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            "url": "https://x.com/pacifica_fi",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.017,
      "implied_probability": 0.017,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 5107.664811000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 53765.67406500001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": "CMX-8889E4740B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "pacifica",
        "token"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L8GGRGYLC9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DL8JP5X05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xead60faf2caee5be3f9ea46131cea93339c4d5802eda85226d0296e0d7231f8a",
      "question": "Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31 2026: Pacifica's official announcements and credible reporting will confirm whether the listed company launches an actively tradable governance token by March 31, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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      "price_as_of": "2026-09-02T20:00:37.157Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 29373.823319000003,
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T09:20:33Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-7DL8JP5X05",
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}