{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SFZVNYTK7",
  "slug": "will-perena-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will Perena launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "perena",
    "defi",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Perena will launch a token by sequential quarterly deadlines through December 31, 2026. Each contract is a binary on a successive deadline, creating an implied probability term structure across Q1 through Q4 2026. Later-dated contracts subsume earlier ones; a March resolution cascades through the remaining strikes. All four settle via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, with no independent third-party publisher named as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NNK9N413Z4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.152,
    "implied_probability": 0.152
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2JX0RSXKT3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SFZVNYTK7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6f589d595ab085823c4f182f267dd2c1136972f4ef2102d3ad202bd543613ee5",
      "question": "Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:36:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/perena",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/perena",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Perena",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 56006.030800999964,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D125A5F11A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "perena",
        "perena token launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NNK9N413Z4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SFZVNYTK7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x015f8be66093755e6799d09bae89e92dc02fbb90329f2a470c405291176b7fcc",
      "question": "Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T11:01:20Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/perena",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/perena",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Perena",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.152,
      "implied_probability": 0.152,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 97248.09807899916,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D22B57A391",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "perena",
        "perena token launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RR9PFKPX05",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SFZVNYTK7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x69a30a6c658daa22a8505595b0766c84b7d957138ca11268651e84e2f3c87c28",
      "question": "Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/perena",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/perena",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Perena",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 27585.412990000026,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5A949B240D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "perena",
        "perena token launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J3VRLG9JC6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SFZVNYTK7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x963efbaed601700ccf414d4239849339f6f8e9fc300294491e15aad55757f896",
      "question": "Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/perena",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/perena",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Perena",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 33242.12880699998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-864947D23C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "perena",
        "perena token launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NNK9N413Z4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T11:01:20Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2JX0RSXKT3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T08:36:11Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-3SFZVNYTK7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}