{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FWDPXV8Z83",
  "slug": "will-prime-intellect-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will Prime Intellect launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "prime-intellect",
    "blockchain",
    "2026",
    "defi-governance"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Prime Intellect will officially launch a publicly tradable token by six sequential quarterly deadlines. All six are structured identically on Polymarket, forming a term structure of binary launch probabilities across 2026 and 2027. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, requiring confirmed public tradability by January 1, 2027 as the activity threshold. Later-dated contracts are structurally redundant if an earlier one resolves YES.",
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  "current_primary_mark": {
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FWDPXV8Z83",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x524cb9d3fa9d2742368d7e585a8e83af5447529236dbbea558707a30e5e9fbcd",
      "question": "Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: An official token launch by the named company, actively and publicly tradable by January 1, 2027, confirmed via the company's official communications or credible reporting consensus, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "question_id": "CMX-A263397E31",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: An official token launch by the named company, actively and publicly tradable by January 1, 2027, confirmed via the company's official communications or credible reporting consensus, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9BR0H7PJY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FWDPXV8Z83",
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      "question": "Will Prime Intellect launch a token by March 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2027: An official token launch by the named company, actively and publicly tradable by January 1, 2027, confirmed via the company's official communications or credible reporting consensus, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://x.com/PrimeIntellect",
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      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 464.38528900000006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": "CMX-6F3CA3E03F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VJJP7RFTY6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FWDPXV8Z83",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x68ab1e85518368e3471d7834f3306fc425085bbab792294cf6bcf99c008482e7",
      "question": "Will Prime Intellect launch a token by June 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2027: An official token launch by the named company, actively and publicly tradable by January 1, 2027, confirmed via the company's official communications or credible reporting consensus, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/PrimeIntellect",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FWDPXV8Z83",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xa47daa694b8faf12ac623622bbde2eef300eb9022943e5df5ce505b5ac2f22fa",
      "question": "Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2027: An official token launch by the named company, actively and publicly tradable by January 1, 2027, confirmed via the company's official communications or credible reporting consensus, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-01T03:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FWDPXV8Z83",
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      "question": "Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: An official token launch by the named company, actively and publicly tradable by January 1, 2027, confirmed via the company's official communications or credible reporting consensus, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question_id": "CMX-E6E6C24102",
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      "tags": [
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-FWDPXV8Z83",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}