{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M1DP2J4KL0",
  "slug": "will-prjx-launch-a-token-in-2025",
  "question": "Will PRJX launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "prjx",
    "2026",
    "blockchain-governance",
    "project-milestone"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the crypto project prjx will launch a token by successive year-end deadlines. All three are binary outcome markets resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The 2025 deadline market closed January 1, 2026 and resolved at 2026-01-01T07:58:49Z. The 2026 and 2027 markets extend the same binary question across longer horizons, creating a term structure of launch probability.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4HGF09DNY6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.16,
    "implied_probability": 0.16
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "question": "Will prjx launch a token in 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if prjx.com officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from prjx.com, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2025: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T07:58:49Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if prjx.com officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from prjx.com, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "prjx.com",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 39895.623444,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": "CMX-27C683B1A3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdff9cba5500ecd54c3cd01b9fd7cab79cf0ceecca12bac07eafef7f165bf386d",
      "question": "Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if prjx.com officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from prjx.com, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if prjx.com officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from prjx.com, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "url": null,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 56887.235617,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-E9845A8443",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WVWV88KYT3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M1DP2J4KL0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xde5f4f4809b9791685d60fc51b19434e8d104a8c70a385faac5216620ae66d26",
      "question": "Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if prjx.com officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from prjx.com, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if prjx.com officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from prjx.com, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 22516.300197,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4B8C7D4C7C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "token"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7VYC8FM9N2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T07:58:49Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-M1DP2J4KL0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}